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Red47
129620.5
75355.5
753411.7
Blue28
63699.2
754010.1
80198.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233501020304050604728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.51.3
11.312.6
Auto10.0
Teleop7.7
End2.8
red by 10.4
7540
#11
10.11.7
10.18.4
Auto5.5
Teleop3.8
End0.8
Second
7534
#13
11.72.2
6.58.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End3.7
red by 2.5
6369
#27
9.21.7
10.99.2
Auto5.2
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Third
7535
#23
5.52.2
5.47.6
Auto1.6
Teleop1.3
End2.6
blue by 2.6
8019
#14
8.11.7
10.28.5
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed