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Red10
75355.5
805515.3
88427.4
Blue29
464112.3
753411.7
80198.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2726010203040501029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.31.0
11.710.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End6.9
red by 3.0
4641
#17
12.30.5
8.89.2
Auto1.9
Teleop3.6
End6.7
Second
8842
#29
7.41.0
5.84.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End3.5
blue by 4.3
7534
#13
11.70.5
8.18.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End3.7
Third
7535
#23
5.51.6
7.25.6
Auto1.6
Teleop1.3
End2.6
blue by 2.6
8019
#14
8.10.5
7.98.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsEarned