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Red58
174521.3
690114.5
667223.3
Blue6
541112.3
415316.2
70917.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43310102050607080586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.32.2
14.516.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End8.8
red by 7.0
16.22.7
10.98.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End5.3
Second
21.31.3
14.816.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.3
End8.0
red by 9.0
5411
#12
12.32.7
12.09.3
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End8.3
Third
6901
#20
14.52.2
9.111.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End4.7
red by 7.3
7091
#28
7.22.7
7.44.7
Auto5.9
Teleop2.0
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed