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Red71
676812.2
129620.5
464112.3
Blue45
75067.4
174521.3
750313.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342305060707145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.51.8
18.220.0
Auto10.0
Teleop7.7
End2.8
blue by 0.8
21.30.1
20.320.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.3
End8.0
Second
4641
#17
12.32.4
11.513.9
Auto1.9
Teleop3.6
End6.7
blue by 1.6
7503
#25
13.90.1
12.712.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End3.6
Third
6768
#10
12.22.4
10.112.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End2.2
red by 4.8
7506
#18
7.40.1
6.97.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsMissed