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Red102
88427.4
415316.2
300537.4
Blue13
754010.1
541112.3
75355.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55342040608010010213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.43.5
30.734.2
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End10.2
red by 25.1
5411
#12
12.31.9
13.811.9
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End8.3
Second
16.24.7
14.218.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End5.3
red by 6.1
7540
#11
10.11.9
13.111.2
Auto5.5
Teleop3.8
End0.8
Third
8842
#29
7.43.5
4.58.0
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End3.5
red by 1.9
7535
#23
5.51.9
7.75.8
Auto1.6
Teleop1.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsMissed