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Red50
86255.4
419220.3
667223.3
Blue75
258228.9
63699.2
805515.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5048204060801005075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.3
20.620.9
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End8.8
blue by 5.6
28.91.2
26.027.2
Auto8.7
Teleop9.6
End10.6
Second
20.30.2
19.719.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.3
End9.7
red by 5.0
15.31.2
12.914.0
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End6.9
Third
8625
#31
5.40.3
6.66.8
Auto3.2
Teleop0.5
End1.8
blue by 3.8
6369
#27
9.21.6
6.48.0
Auto5.2
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsEarned