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Red99
420642.4
753411.7
88168.9
Blue36
589215.9
731910.0
690114.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54412060809936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.43.3
35.338.6
Auto11.6
Teleop26.4
End4.4
red by 26.5
5892
#24
15.90.8
14.413.6
Auto4.8
Teleop11.5
End-0.4
Second
7534
#13
11.74.4
8.412.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End3.7
blue by 2.8
6901
#20
14.51.0
16.615.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.1
End4.7
Third
8816
#16
8.94.0
5.79.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.7
blue by 1.0
7319
#15
10.01.1
9.07.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed