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Red60
582916.4
99909.7
637726.5
Blue59
419223.6
99919.9
288129.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587101001506059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#11
26.50.1
29.329.4
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End6.5
blue by 2.6
2881
#10
29.10.7
30.029.3
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End10.8
Second
5829
#20
16.40.1
18.218.3
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End6.2
blue by 7.3
4192
#13
23.60.7
28.728.0
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End8.1
Third
9990
#16
9.70.1
11.511.6
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End2.7
blue by 0.2
9991
#25
9.91.2
11.19.9
Auto1.1
Teleop6.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed42%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsMissed