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Red67
348118.4
45623.5
258717.3
Blue91
99858.5
62455.8
636917.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64910501502006791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#6
23.50.3
20.420.7
Auto6.5
Teleop10.8
End6.2
blue by 32.3
624
#1
55.80.1
54.354.4
Auto15.2
Teleop28.6
End11.8
Second
18.40.3
20.120.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End4.7
red by 1.1
6369
#22
17.40.1
23.223.3
Auto8.4
Teleop1.4
End7.5
Third
2587
#14
17.30.3
21.521.9
Auto8.2
Teleop0.3
End8.6
red by 8.8
9985
#26
8.50.1
12.312.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsEarned79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned