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Red57
582916.4
589216.6
458710.6
Blue76
463918.9
258717.3
147732.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39980501502005776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#18
16.61.0
12.613.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.5
blue by 16.2
32.80.5
33.933.4
Auto10.1
Teleop15.4
End7.3
Second
5829
#20
16.41.0
17.518.5
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End6.2
blue by 2.6
18.90.5
30.129.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End6.0
Third
4587
#23
10.61.0
12.313.2
Auto5.0
Teleop1.0
End4.7
blue by 6.6
2587
#14
17.30.5
19.819.2
Auto8.2
Teleop0.3
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsMissed76%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsEarned