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Red67
636917.4
11843.8
998712.5
Blue65
85159.3
288129.1
99858.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92390501502006765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#3
43.81.1
49.848.7
Auto8.9
Teleop23.1
End11.7
red by 14.7
2881
#10
29.10.8
28.128.9
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End10.8
Second
6369
#22
17.41.1
20.419.3
Auto8.4
Teleop1.4
End7.5
red by 8.1
8515
#12
9.30.8
9.210.0
Auto2.0
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Third
9987
#17
12.51.8
13.311.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End5.7
red by 4.0
9985
#26
8.51.4
11.212.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsMissed