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Red32
85159.3
999914.6
99919.9
Blue83
458710.6
348118.4
62455.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10111501001502003283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9999
#21
14.60.2
11.611.3
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End0.3
blue by 41.1
624
#1
55.80.7
56.956.2
Auto15.2
Teleop28.6
End11.8
Second
9991
#25
9.90.2
12.512.3
Auto1.1
Teleop6.2
End2.7
blue by 8.6
18.40.7
19.919.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End4.7
Third
8515
#12
9.30.1
10.09.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.7
End3.5
blue by 1.3
4587
#23
10.60.7
13.212.5
Auto5.0
Teleop1.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed78%Hangar oddsEarned