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Red55
45623.5
99858.5
463918.9
Blue99
11843.8
147732.8
288129.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4913201001502005599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#6
23.50.7
19.819.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.8
End6.2
blue by 20.3
118
#3
43.81.1
48.747.6
Auto8.9
Teleop23.1
End11.7
Second
18.90.7
29.628.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End6.0
blue by 13.9
32.81.1
33.432.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.4
End7.3
Third
9985
#26
8.51.2
12.611.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 20.6
2881
#10
29.11.1
28.927.8
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
76%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsEarned