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Red40
55036.9
589216.6
32423.8
Blue58
998712.5
419223.6
258717.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4461020801001201401604058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#7
23.80.1
21.321.2
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End6.0
red by 0.1
4192
#13
23.60.0
27.727.7
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End8.1
Second
5892
#18
16.60.1
13.613.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.5
blue by 0.7
2587
#14
17.30.0
19.219.3
Auto8.2
Teleop0.3
End8.6
Third
5503
#24
6.90.1
6.86.6
Auto4.3
Teleop0.7
End1.8
blue by 5.6
9987
#17
12.50.1
10.510.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed62%Hangar oddsMissed