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Red68
258717.3
11843.8
582916.4
Blue27
85159.3
817719.6
99919.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97370501502006827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#3
43.80.9
47.646.8
Auto8.9
Teleop23.1
End11.7
red by 24.2
8177
#19
19.61.3
23.522.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.1
End6.7
Second
2587
#14
17.30.9
19.318.4
Auto8.2
Teleop0.3
End8.6
red by 7.4
9991
#25
9.92.0
12.310.3
Auto1.1
Teleop6.2
End2.7
Third
5829
#20
16.40.9
13.913.0
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End6.2
red by 7.1
8515
#12
9.31.3
10.28.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed