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Red32
542719.2
55036.9
81508.3
Blue53
463918.9
541426.3
288129.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291020501502003253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#15
19.20.4
21.721.2
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End6.7
blue by 9.9
2881
#10
29.12.1
29.327.2
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End10.8
Second
8150
#27
8.30.4
6.66.2
Auto4.7
Teleop0.7
End2.9
blue by 18.0
26.32.1
28.626.5
Auto8.7
Teleop9.7
End7.9
Third
5503
#24
6.90.4
6.35.9
Auto4.3
Teleop0.7
End1.8
blue by 12.1
18.92.1
26.524.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
3%Cargo oddsMissed89%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed79%Hangar oddsEarned