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Red19
99858.5
458710.6
998712.5
Blue87
589216.6
62455.8
99909.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15920501001501987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9987
#17
12.51.4
10.59.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End5.7
blue by 43.3
624
#1
55.80.7
56.457.1
Auto15.2
Teleop28.6
End11.8
Second
4587
#23
10.60.9
10.19.3
Auto5.0
Teleop1.0
End4.7
blue by 6.0
5892
#18
16.60.7
13.514.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.5
Third
9985
#26
8.51.4
11.510.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 1.2
9990
#16
9.71.1
6.57.6
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed77%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed60%Hangar oddsEarned