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Red43
258717.3
288129.1
384726.7
Blue101
589216.6
433619.3
62455.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8197020406012014016043101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#10
29.12.2
27.225.0
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End10.8
blue by 26.6
624
#1
55.80.9
57.158.0
Auto15.2
Teleop28.6
End11.8
Second
3847
#28
26.72.2
30.027.8
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End7.1
red by 7.4
19.30.9
15.916.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.5
End5.9
Third
2587
#14
17.32.2
18.416.2
Auto8.2
Teleop0.3
End8.6
red by 0.7
5892
#18
16.60.9
14.215.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsMissed87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsMissed80%Hangar oddsEarned