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Red58
32423.8
998712.5
348118.4
Blue29
542719.2
45623.5
817719.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467101001505829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#7
23.80.6
20.821.4
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End6.0
red by 0.3
456
#6
23.52.2
18.916.7
Auto6.5
Teleop10.8
End6.2
Second
18.40.6
19.019.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End4.7
blue by 1.2
8177
#19
19.62.2
21.319.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.1
End6.7
Third
9987
#17
12.50.9
9.210.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End5.7
blue by 6.8
5427
#15
19.22.2
21.219.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsMissed