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Red72
582916.4
147732.8
55036.9
Blue41
99919.9
636917.4
81508.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions602802040801001201401607241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.81.4
31.933.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.4
End7.3
red by 15.4
6369
#22
17.40.5
16.717.2
Auto8.4
Teleop1.4
End7.5
Second
5829
#20
16.41.4
13.014.4
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End6.2
red by 6.5
9991
#25
9.90.8
10.311.1
Auto1.1
Teleop6.2
End2.7
Third
5503
#24
6.91.4
5.97.3
Auto4.3
Teleop0.7
End1.8
blue by 1.4
8150
#27
8.30.5
6.26.7
Auto4.7
Teleop0.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsEarned4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed