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Red44
636917.4
817719.6
55036.9
Blue64
458710.6
637726.5
589216.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46540204060801001204464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8177
#19
19.60.2
19.219.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.1
End6.7
blue by 6.9
6377
#11
26.51.0
23.724.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End6.5
Second
6369
#22
17.40.2
17.217.0
Auto8.4
Teleop1.4
End7.5
red by 0.8
5892
#18
16.61.0
15.616.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.5
Third
5503
#24
6.90.2
6.66.4
Auto4.3
Teleop0.7
End1.8
blue by 3.8
4587
#23
10.61.0
9.510.6
Auto5.0
Teleop1.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsEarned