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Red64
348118.4
99919.9
147732.8
Blue76
999914.6
433619.3
258717.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684401001506476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.0
33.533.5
Auto10.1
Teleop15.4
End7.3
red by 13.5
19.31.3
17.018.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.5
End5.9
Second
18.40.0
19.719.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End4.7
red by 1.2
2587
#14
17.31.3
16.017.4
Auto8.2
Teleop0.3
End8.6
Third
9991
#25
9.90.0
10.210.2
Auto1.1
Teleop6.2
End2.7
blue by 4.8
9999
#21
14.61.6
15.016.6
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned