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Red95
147732.8
62455.8
463918.9
Blue100
817719.6
11843.8
541426.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1258605010015020095100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
55.82.1
56.954.8
Auto15.2
Teleop28.6
End11.8
red by 11.9
118
#3
43.80.7
42.142.9
Auto8.9
Teleop23.1
End11.7
Second
32.82.1
33.531.4
Auto10.1
Teleop15.4
End7.3
red by 6.5
26.30.7
24.625.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.7
End7.9
Third
18.92.1
20.618.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End6.0
blue by 0.7
8177
#19
19.60.7
18.519.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned