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Red54
288129.1
99909.7
636917.4
Blue56
458710.6
258717.3
32423.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595301001505456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#10
29.10.0
27.627.7
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End10.8
red by 5.4
324
#7
23.80.2
22.622.7
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End6.0
Second
6369
#22
17.40.0
16.116.1
Auto8.4
Teleop1.4
End7.5
red by 0.1
2587
#14
17.30.2
17.417.5
Auto8.2
Teleop0.3
End8.6
Third
9990
#16
9.70.0
9.69.7
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End2.7
blue by 1.0
4587
#23
10.60.2
9.69.8
Auto5.0
Teleop1.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsMissed68%Hangar oddsEarned