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Red86
288129.1
147732.8
81508.3
Blue81
541426.3
32423.8
384726.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73840501001502002503008681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.4
32.232.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.4
End7.3
red by 6.1
3847
#28
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End7.1
Second
2881
#10
29.10.4
28.528.9
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End10.8
red by 2.8
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.7
End7.9
Third
8150
#27
8.30.4
7.98.3
Auto4.7
Teleop0.7
End2.9
blue by 15.5
324
#7
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto9.4
Teleop8.3
End6.0