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Red24
676811.4
731913.7
762110.3
Blue16
85075.9
70916.1
271413.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392802060802416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7319
#25
13.71.0
12.111.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.3
red by 0.2
2714
#23
13.51.0
11.210.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End4.0
Second
6768
#24
11.41.0
12.311.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.3
End2.2
red by 5.2
7091
#32
6.11.0
8.87.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.4
End1.4
Third
7621
#29
10.31.0
11.09.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End3.7
red by 4.4
8507
#41
5.91.0
7.76.7
Auto3.2
Teleop1.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed