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Red38
636917.3
52128.5
712512.3
Blue45
690113.4
88167.7
543120.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39481020306070803845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
#11
17.30.0
17.117.1
Auto6.4
Teleop3.0
End8.0
blue by 3.1
20.40.7
21.020.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End9.1
Second
7125
#16
12.30.0
12.112.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
blue by 1.1
6901
#33
13.40.7
14.613.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End4.5
Third
5212
#20
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End2.0
red by 0.8
8816
#36
7.70.7
8.57.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned