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Red95
505213.2
541119.7
14856.1
Blue51
85075.9
380217.9
712116.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105300501509551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#2
56.10.4
57.157.5
Auto15.4
Teleop30.3
End10.5
red by 38.3
3802
#21
17.90.6
17.017.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End4.3
Second
5411
#15
19.70.4
19.119.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.1
End10.0
red by 3.2
7121
#12
16.50.6
15.716.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End5.6
Third
5052
#13
13.20.4
12.813.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.7
End4.7
red by 7.3
8507
#41
5.90.6
5.35.9
Auto3.2
Teleop1.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsMissed