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Red44
129629.2
419223.6
461010.8
Blue27
99999.2
348118.4
88747.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73380501001504427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
Unranked
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto12.4
Teleop13.3
End3.6
red by 10.7
3481
Unranked
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End4.7
Second
4192
Unranked
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End8.1
red by 14.5
9999
Unranked
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.5
Third
4610
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.0
End2.9
red by 3.9
8874
Unranked
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo odds15%Cargo odds
Hangar
37%Hangar odds17%Hangar odds