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Red42
543131.3
541426.3
99919.2
Blue114
284827.8
384726.7
433619.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648205010015042114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
Unranked
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End9.7
red by 3.4
2848
Unranked
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End9.9
Second
5414
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.7
End7.9
blue by 0.4
3847
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End7.1
Third
9991
Unranked
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.5
blue by 10.1
4336
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo odds51%Cargo odds
Hangar
54%Hangar odds93%Hangar odds