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Red98
637726.5
258311.1
680055.2
Blue52
271419.2
541119.0
636917.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1075301502009852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
Unranked
55.20.0
55.255.2
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End10.2
red by 36.0
2714
Unranked
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End5.1
Second
6377
Unranked
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End6.5
red by 7.5
5411
Unranked
19.00.0
19.019.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End10.0
Third
2583
Unranked
11.10.0
11.111.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End5.6
blue by 6.3
6369
Unranked
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto8.4
Teleop1.4
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo odds9%Cargo odds
Hangar
70%Hangar odds77%Hangar odds