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Red71
680055.2
461010.8
541119.0
Blue78
541426.3
348118.4
284827.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93760501507178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
Unranked
55.20.0
55.255.2
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End10.2
red by 27.4
2848
Unranked
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End9.9
Second
5411
Unranked
19.00.0
19.019.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End10.0
blue by 7.3
5414
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.7
End7.9
Third
4610
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 7.6
3481
Unranked
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
72%Cargo odds62%Cargo odds
Hangar
80%Hangar odds88%Hangar odds