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Red26
419223.6
258311.1
99999.2
Blue83
99828.1
384726.7
637726.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506901001502002683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
Unranked
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End8.1
blue by 3.1
3847
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End7.1
Second
2583
Unranked
11.10.0
11.111.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End5.6
blue by 15.4
6377
Unranked
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End6.5
Third
9999
Unranked
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.5
red by 1.0
9982
Unranked
8.10.0
8.18.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo odds36%Cargo odds
Hangar
36%Hangar odds52%Hangar odds