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Red59
750619.3
271419.2
99869.2
Blue5
288129.1
543131.3
617110.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions438102060100120140160595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7506
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End9.1
blue by 12.0
5431
Unranked
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End9.7
Second
2714
Unranked
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End5.1
blue by 10.0
2881
Unranked
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End10.8
Third
9986
Unranked
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.5
blue by 1.2
6171
Unranked
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo odds41%Cargo odds
Hangar
57%Hangar odds74%Hangar odds