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Red52
636917.4
617110.4
433619.3
Blue47
99828.1
129629.2
284827.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487301001505247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.5
End5.9
blue by 9.9
1296
Unranked
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto12.4
Teleop13.3
End3.6
Second
6369
Unranked
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto8.4
Teleop1.4
End7.5
blue by 10.4
2848
Unranked
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End9.9
Third
6171
Unranked
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End3.2
red by 2.2
9982
Unranked
8.10.0
8.18.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo odds59%Cargo odds
Hangar
54%Hangar odds66%Hangar odds