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Red71
88747.0
637726.5
14853.9
Blue80
99869.2
680055.2
99919.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98660501507180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
Unranked
53.90.0
53.953.9
Auto14.9
Teleop29.9
End9.1
blue by 1.3
6800
Unranked
55.20.0
55.255.2
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End10.2
Second
6377
Unranked
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End6.5
red by 17.3
9986
Unranked
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.5
Third
8874
Unranked
7.00.0
7.07.0
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End1.7
blue by 2.2
9991
Unranked
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo odds62%Cargo odds
Hangar
71%Hangar odds33%Hangar odds