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Red59
541119.0
543131.3
348118.4
Blue53
258311.1
750619.3
541426.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76580501001505953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
Unranked
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End9.7
red by 4.9
5414
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.7
End7.9
Second
5411
Unranked
19.00.0
19.019.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End10.0
blue by 0.2
7506
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End9.1
Third
3481
Unranked
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End4.7
red by 7.4
2583
Unranked
11.10.0
11.111.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo odds26%Cargo odds
Hangar
86%Hangar odds66%Hangar odds