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Red78
23127.8
817732.4
59866.3
Blue51
801917.9
32422.6
769110.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7252204060801001207851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.3
31.832.1
Auto9.2
Teleop10.5
End12.6
red by 9.8
324
#2
22.60.0
22.722.7
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End8.0
Second
231
#3
27.80.3
27.227.5
Auto10.4
Teleop9.7
End7.8
red by 9.9
17.90.0
18.018.0
Auto4.9
Teleop4.5
End8.5
Third
5986
#26
6.30.3
5.76.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End2.8
blue by 4.2
7691
#30
10.50.0
10.610.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End4.1