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Red10
84056.4
71152.6
68303.5
Blue21
82106.6
38347.3
43289.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142204060801021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8405
#16
6.40.3
4.23.9
Auto4.2
Teleop0.4
End1.9
blue by 3.5
4328
#18
9.90.1
6.66.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End3.1
Second
6830
#25
3.50.3
6.66.3
Auto1.1
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 3.9
3834
#21
7.30.1
8.28.2
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End3.6
Third
7115
#22
2.60.3
3.73.4
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.1
End2.0
blue by 4.0
8210
#10
6.60.1
5.35.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
3%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed