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Red19
769110.5
88276.0
50703.7
Blue39
82742.8
857315.1
258716.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24310204060801939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7691
#30
10.50.8
8.37.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End4.1
blue by 5.9
16.40.7
9.310.0
Auto5.6
Teleop1.8
End9.0
Second
8827
#13
6.01.4
7.86.4
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.2
End3.3
blue by 9.1
15.10.7
15.215.9
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End6.9
Third
5070
#31
3.70.8
7.46.6
Auto1.3
Teleop1.7
End0.7
red by 0.9
8274
#12
2.80.7
3.74.4
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned