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Red50
66457.2
258311.0
817732.4
Blue26
50703.7
857315.1
37286.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46320204060801005026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.6
25.926.4
Auto9.2
Teleop10.5
End12.6
red by 17.3
15.10.7
15.414.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End6.9
Second
11.00.6
9.49.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End4.3
red by 5.0
3728
#24
6.01.1
8.57.4
Auto2.6
Teleop1.6
End1.8
Third
7.20.6
6.47.0
Auto1.6
Teleop1.5
End4.1
red by 3.5
5070
#31
3.70.7
7.87.2
Auto1.3
Teleop1.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsMissed