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Red43
32422.6
38347.3
42956.1
Blue30
258716.4
28827.5
83925.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2725101520303540454330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#2
22.60.9
15.216.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End8.0
red by 6.2
16.40.4
8.69.0
Auto5.6
Teleop1.8
End9.0
Second
3834
#21
7.30.9
8.29.1
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End3.6
blue by 0.2
2882
#27
7.50.5
8.28.7
Auto4.3
Teleop0.4
End2.8
Third
4295
#15
6.10.9
1.72.7
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End1.7
red by 0.9
8392
#29
5.20.4
7.07.4
Auto3.7
Teleop1.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed