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Red36
43325.3
857610.1
310315.9
Blue38
71152.6
42956.1
857315.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3424010203040506070803638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.4
13.814.1
Auto3.2
Teleop0.8
End11.9
red by 0.8
15.10.7
15.716.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End6.9
Second
8576
#19
10.10.4
11.311.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End1.3
red by 4.0
4295
#15
6.10.7
5.46.1
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End1.7
Third
4332
#28
5.30.4
5.65.9
Auto2.7
Teleop1.6
End1.0
red by 2.7
7115
#22
2.60.7
2.83.5
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsEarned