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Red6
85562.6
43289.9
45972.4
Blue56
83925.2
801917.9
23127.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951020406080100120656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4328
#18
9.90.5
7.97.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End3.1
blue by 17.9
231
#3
27.80.9
22.623.5
Auto10.4
Teleop9.7
End7.8
Second
8556
#14
2.60.5
3.22.7
Auto1.0
Teleop-0.0
End1.6
blue by 15.3
17.90.9
13.414.4
Auto4.9
Teleop4.5
End8.5
Third
4597
#32
2.40.5
2.41.9
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End0.2
blue by 2.8
8392
#29
5.20.9
6.27.1
Auto3.7
Teleop1.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
2%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsEarned