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Red20
258716.4
50703.7
59866.3
Blue8
28827.5
68303.5
82742.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262101030405060208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.2
13.513.2
Auto5.6
Teleop1.8
End9.0
red by 8.9
2882
#27
7.50.8
9.18.3
Auto4.3
Teleop0.4
End2.8
Second
5986
#26
6.30.2
4.84.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End2.8
red by 2.8
6830
#25
3.50.8
5.34.5
Auto1.1
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Third
5070
#31
3.70.2
5.14.9
Auto1.3
Teleop1.7
End0.7
red by 0.9
8274
#12
2.80.8
5.54.7
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed