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Red43
59866.3
88276.0
817732.4
Blue8
35455.2
82742.8
30376.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4813020406080100438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.1
30.630.5
Auto9.2
Teleop10.5
End12.6
red by 26.0
3037
#20
6.40.7
7.06.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Second
5986
#26
6.30.1
4.54.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End2.8
red by 1.1
3545
#17
5.20.6
6.25.6
Auto4.1
Teleop-1.0
End2.0
Third
8827
#13
6.00.1
5.25.1
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.2
End3.3
red by 3.2
8274
#12
2.80.6
3.63.0
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed