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Red36
45972.4
857315.1
769110.5
Blue47
43289.9
801917.9
43325.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26330204060803647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.7
14.815.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End6.9
blue by 2.8
17.90.6
16.216.8
Auto4.9
Teleop4.5
End8.5
Second
7691
#30
10.50.7
8.79.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End4.1
red by 0.5
4328
#18
9.90.6
9.09.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End3.1
Third
4597
#32
2.40.7
1.72.4
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End0.2
blue by 2.9
4332
#28
5.30.6
5.05.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
3%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed