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Red13
85159.9
74186.5
875012.2
Blue40
761615.5
708814.8
81448.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233301020304050601340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8750
#12
12.20.7
9.68.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End3.4
blue by 3.3
7616
#11
15.50.7
15.516.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End10.4
Second
8515
#13
9.90.7
9.18.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End2.9
blue by 5.0
14.80.7
6.77.4
Auto4.9
Teleop1.6
End8.3
Third
7418
#30
6.50.7
4.63.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End-0.1
blue by 1.9
8144
#22
8.40.7
7.68.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned