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Red33
55038.5
88198.8
458716.4
Blue28
76918.7
52619.2
31039.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22250103040503328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.8
10.511.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End3.8
red by 6.5
3103
#20
9.90.3
7.06.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.9
End6.6
Second
8819
#23DQ
8.80.8
3.34.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.4
End1.9
blue by 0.3
5261
#31
9.20.2
9.49.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.5
Third
5503
#17
8.50.8
7.38.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End2.7
blue by 0.2
7691
#24
8.70.3
6.66.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
3%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed