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Red4
31039.9
82741.4
85159.9
Blue39
458716.4
81448.4
81509.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243501020304050607080439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3103
#20
9.91.5
9.98.4
Auto2.4
Teleop0.9
End6.6
blue by 6.5
16.40.5
15.315.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End3.8
Second
8515
#13
9.91.4
11.410.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End2.9
blue by 0.1
8150
#25
9.90.5
8.38.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.1
End2.2
Third
8274
#32
1.41.5
2.91.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop0.5
End1.0
blue by 7.0
8144
#22
8.40.5
7.98.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed4%Hangar oddsMissed